Saturday, January 12, 2013

2013 Cardinals Top 10 Composite Prospect List


Each year I like to compile a composite prospect list, taking the top prospects lists from across the web, assigning points to each ranking and then using these points to create a composite ranking.  I do this each February for the top 100 prospects in baseball, which can be found at my MLB Composite Prospect Index site and I also do it for my favorite team, the Cardinals.

Below is the first annual Cardinals Top 10 Composite Prospect listing.  I have also added a separate page with a link to the spreadsheet as well as links to the expert sites that I used for the composite prospect list.

2013 Cardinals Top 10 Composite Prospect List (Preliminary)

1.  Oscar Taveras (70 points)

YearAgeLevABRH2B3BHRRBISBBBSOBAOBPSLG
201220AA477831533772394104256.321.380.572
4 Seasons126321040691234024329115190.321.381.525
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/12/2013.

Taveras was ranked #1 on all 7 top 10 lists and deservedly so.

2.  Shelby Miller (62 points)

YearLevWLERAIPHRERHRBBSOWHIP
2012AAA11104.74136.2138787224501601.376
4 Seasons29213.73383.2352180159351384721.277
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/12/2013.

Despite his sub par year, Miller was stilled named the #2 prospect on 6 of the 7 lists, with 1 list ranking him 3rd.

3.  Carlos Martinez (54 points)

YearLevWLERAIPHRERHRBBSOWHIP
2012AA-A+652.93104.1913934632921.179
3 Seasons15122.76248.0195887610902681.149
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/12/2013.

Still trying to catch up with the higher ranked Miller, Martinez could make his major league debut in 2013.

4.  Trevor Rosenthal (45 points)

Year Lev W L ERA IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP
2012 AA-AAA 8 6 2.97 109.0 78 40 36 7 42 104 1.101
4 Seasons 22 14 3.53 285.1 237 129 112 15 98 293 1.174
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/12/2013.

A bit of a sleeper prospect last year, Rosenthal is certainly on everyone's top prospect lists this year after impressing in his big league debut.

5.  Michael Wacha (43 points)
 
YearLevWLW-L%ERAIPHRERHRBBSOWHIP
2012A+-AA-Rk000.8621.082214400.571
1 Season000.8621.082214400.571
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/12/2013.

After being drafted 19th overall this past June, Wacha spent time at three different levels in 2012, dominating at all 3.

6.  Kolten Wong (39 points)
  
YearLevABRH2B3BHRRBISBCSBBSOBAOBPSLGOPS
2012AA5237915023695221114474.287.348.405.754
2 Seasons717118215388147730166598.300.363.434.797
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/12/2013.

The Cardinals second baseman of the future had a fine season at AA and could battle for the starting job in Spring Training.

7.  Matt Adams (25 points)


YearLevABRH2B3BHRRBISBBBSOBAOBPSLGOPS
2012AAA2584185220185031557.329.362.624.986
4 Seasons14302234551032822918108266.318.365.565.930
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/12/2013.

Injuries ruined his chance to show his power at the major league level and now he is blocked by Allen Craig.

8.  Tyrell Jenkins (22 points)

YearLevWLERAIPHRERHRBBSOWHIP
2012A445.1482.1845347536801.457
3 Seasons864.52141.114986718511371.415
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/12/2013.

Another power arm, Jenkins struggled in his first taste of full season ball, but still has plenty of time to figure things out.

9.  Stephen Piscotty (9 points)
   
Year Lev AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
2012 A 210 29 62 18 1 4 27 3 18 25 .295 .376 .448 .823
1 Season 210 29 62 18 1 4 27 3 18 25 .295 .376 .448 .823
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/12/2013.

Projects to hit for average, but is not expected to develop much power.

10.  Carson Kelly (6 points)
  
YearLevABRH2B3BHRRBISBBBSOBAOBPSLGOPS
2012Rk213244810092501033.225.263.399.662
1 Season213244810092501033.225.263.399.662
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/12/2013.

A second round pick in 2012, Kelly has a strong arm (he also pitched in high school), a nice line-drive stroke and power potential.

Others receiving points:
Anthony Garcia (4), John Gast (2), Mike O'Neill (2), Maikel Cleto (1), Victor De Leon (1) 

As noted above, this is the preliminary list as I still expect to see 5 or more lists published in the near future, so expect an update in lat January or early February.

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