Showing posts with label 2013 rotation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2013 rotation. Show all posts

Sunday, October 13, 2013

Cardinals pitchers flaunt their age

The Cardinals pitchers are showing their age and that's a good thing.  In the first two games of the NLCS, 7 of the 9 pitchers the Cards have used were 26 or under.  The list includes game one starter Joe Kelly (25), game two starter Michael Wacha (21), relievers Lance Lynn (26), Seth Maness (24), Kevin Siegrist (23), Carlos Martinez (21) and closer Trevor Rosenthal (23).

Combined, they have thrown 20.1 innings, allowing just 13 hits and 6 walks while striking out 22.  They have garnered 2 wins so far while posting an incredible 0.89 ERA. 

The only "veterans" of this group are Lynn and Kelly, while the other 5 are completing their rookie season.

Its amazing to think about what these pitchers have accomplished at such a young age.  In the NLDS, the Cardinals also used Shelby Miller (22), making 8 of their 12 pitchers 26 or under.  Those 8 pitchers combined to throw 25 innings, allowing 20 hits, 11 walks, 25 K's and a 3.96 ERA. 

Adam Wainwright is still the leader of this pitching staff, as his two wins in the NLDS attest, but the Cardinals certainly have a nice stable of young pitchers to build around for the future.

The Cardinals are going to have to make some difficult decisions this offseason as to who fits where in this pitching staff and who might be expendable to acquire upgrades elsewhere. 

But, for now, its just fun to watch these youngsters pitch and dream of how good they could be with a little more experience.

Saturday, October 12, 2013

Did scouts miss the boat on the Cardinals' Michael Wacha?

After yet another stellar performance by Cardinals' rookie Michael Wacha, it got me to thinking that a lot of teams and scouts surely missed the boat on this guy.

Baseball America listed him as the 4th best college pitcher in the 2012 draft and the 11th best pitcher overall.

After he was selected 19th overall by the Cardinals in the 2012 draft, MLB TV's John Hart projected him as a "mid-rotation starter with an elite change". 

Then, despite a stellar minor league debut last year, in which he struck 40 batters in 21 innings, mostly in relief, scouts still weren't convinced.

In their preseason Cardinals Top 10 prospect list, Baseball America said of Wacha: "It’s easy to project him as a mid-rotation starter, and he could turn into something more if he finds a reliable breaking ball."

John Sickels of Minor League Ball in his scouting report stated that Wacha "projects as a number three starter, possibly more".  While most scouts loved he fastball and change, but showed little praise for his curve or slider, Sickels at least felt that that Wacha's breaking pitches were "better than advertised".

Then, after Wacha's impressive spring training in which he hurled 11.2 innings without allowing an earned run, CBS Sports' Danny Knobler relayed one scout's impression of Wacha.  According to that scout Wacha "might be a No. 2.  He's at least a 3."  He went on to say that Wacha's very good, but he's no Matt Harvey or Stephen Strasburg.

So, the consensus was that Wacha was a mid-rotation starter, perhaps as high as a number 2 starter, yet here he is pitching like an ace.  In his last 3 games, including 2 starts in the postseason, he has thrown 22.2 innings, giving up only 7 hits, 5 walks and 1 earned run while striking out 26.

Could all the scouts have been wrong or will the league eventually catch up with Wacha and his stuff?

I, for one, am on the Wacha bandwagon and I'm sure many scouts are starting to jump on board too.



Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Has Michael Wacha pitched himself into postseason rotation?

The worst thing, for me at least, about living in the Chicago area is that I rarely get to see the Cardinals play (and I'm too cheap to pay for MLB's Extra Innings package).  So you can imagine my frustration upon learning that Michael Wacha had a no-hitter going and not being able to see it.  (Although, thanks to MLB Network, I was able to watch the last two innings).

Despite losing the no-hitter with two outs in the 9th (if only Wacha was a few inches taller), there's no doubt that Wacha is on a roll.  So much so, that the commentators on MLB Network were already saying he's a shoo-in for the postseason rotation.

In 5 September starts, Wacha is 2-1 with a 1.72 ERA.  Overall he is 4-1 with a 2.78 ERA.  If he is not one of the Cardinals top 4 starters (assuming the Cardinals use a 4-man rotation in the playoffs), then I don't know who is.

If Wacha does make the postseason rotation, then the most likely man out is Lance Lynn.  Adam Wainwright and Joe Kelly have been too good and Shelby Miller, who struggled in August (4.55 ERA), has bounced back nicely in September (2-0, 3.09 ERA). 

Lynn started off strong in April (4-0, 3.10 ERA) and May (3-1, 2.77 ERA), but struggled in June (3-1, 4.83 ERA), July (2-3, 4.84 ERA) and August (1-4, 5.84 ERA), nearly costing him his rotation spot.  He has bounced back in September (1-1, 2.66 ERA), but will it be enough for him to keep his rotation spot in the postseason.  Plus, Lynn has worked primarily out of the pen the last two postseasons.

There are other factors at play here, of course.  The Cardinals may not want to put Wacha in such a high pressure situation in his rookie year (see Ankiel, Rick) or they might just want to keep his innings down.  If that's the case, they may just decide to put Wacha in the pen and stick with Lynn in the rotation.  Or they could just go with a 3-man rotation. 

There is still some time for Mike Matheny and Co. to sort all of this out, but if it were up to me, I'd go with Wacha.

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Lance Lynn quiets the doubters, for now

Needing a quality start to keep his spot in the rotation, Lance Lynn came up big tonight, throwing 6 innings while allowing only 1 unearned run on 5 hits and 2 walks.  He also struck out 10 on the night, the most since he struck out 11 on August 4th.

Unfortunately, the Cardinals hitters couldn't get Lynn the win as they didn't do much to support Lynn.  Marco Estrada kept them hitless for 5.2 innings before Matt Carpenter grounded a ball off Estrada's foot for an infield hit. 

It was good to see Lynn bounce back (finally) from his recent struggles, as he was battling not just for his rotation spot but perhaps even a spot on the postseason roster. 

Hopefully this is a sign of things to come for Lynn, as the Cardinals are certainly a better team when he is on. 

Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Make it or break it time for Lance Lynn?

After another poor outing last Thursday, Cardinals GM Mozeliak and Manager Mike Matheny did not mince words about the importance of Wednesday's start for Lance Lynn.  Mozeliak indicated that Lynn's next start could be his last to prove he belongs in the rotation, while Matheny echoed Mo's words, emphasizing the importance of getting Lynn sorted out.

If Lynn can return to the form that produced a 7-1 record with a 2.91 ERA through the end of May, it would greatly improve the Cardinals chances for a long postseason run.  However, his recent stretch of 4 straight losses while giving up at least 4 runs in each game has not inspired confidence.

But, if the Cardinals are forced to replace Lynn in the rotation, who do they replace him with?

Jake Westbrook has been pretty brutal of late, giving up 5 runs (3 earned) in 1.1 innings his last time out, making a 12-1 lead nearly vanish and forcing the Cardinals to use an ailing Edward Mujica to close out a game that should not have required a closer.

Carlos Martinez has the stuff and the upside to be an front of the rotation starter, but has been used primarily out of the pen in the majors and was roughed up in his only start for the team.  It also appears that the team does not have confidence in him.

Tyler Lyons started his Cardinals career with back-to-back 7-inning, one-run performances, but has given up at least 4 runs in each of his last 6 starts.

Personally, I would like to see Lynn get things straightened out, as he gives us the best chance to win when he's "on".  However, if he cannot figure it out, I would like to see Martinez be given a chance to really show what he can do.  However, its more likely that the team (i.e. Matheny) will go either with the veteran, Westbrook, or take another chance with Lyons, as Martinez seems to be far down on the depth chart in their eyes.

Neither Westbrook or Lyons seems very appealing to me, which is why I have my fingers crossed for a good performance from Lynn tomorrow night.

Friday, September 6, 2013

What will the Cardinals do with Jake Westbrook?

Jake Westbrook is eligible to come off the D.L. today and, according to Bernie Miklasz, the Cardinals are suggesting he could return to the rotation.

Miklasz goes on to suggest that, if Westbrook replaces anyone in the rotation, it should be Lance Lynn and, after another clunker last night, I would tend to agree with him.

However, its not like Westbrook was tearing it up before he went on the D.L.  So, would replacing Lynn with Westbrook really be an upgrade?

Another option would be to use Jake out of the pen, but, as I mentioned before, Westbrook takes a while to get loose and a bullpen role would not allow him that luxury.

Another option might be to go with a 6 man rotation, allowing the Cardinals to give extra rest to their youngsters.  The Cardinals have already shown their reluctance to push their young starter, primarily Shelby Miller and Michael Wacha, past their arbitrary innings limits.  Going this route could help the team keep their innings down and allow them to use those guys more freely in the playoffs.

Personally, I don't think I want to see either Westbrook or Lynn in the rotation down the stretch.  I think the Cardinals should go with Carlos Martinez as he probably gives the team a better chance to win. 

Let Lynn try to sort out his issues in the bullpen and let Westbrook act as another pitching coach, if he cannot handle a bullpen role. 

In any case, neither has shown enough lately for the Cardinals to consider them reliable options in the rotation.  Its time to give someone else a shot.

Wednesday, September 4, 2013

Let there be no doubt: Michael Wacha IS the Cardinals 5th starter

In case there was any doubt as to who should be the Cardinals 5th starter, between Tyler Lyons, Carlos Martinez and Michael Wacha, Wacha put those doubts to rest last night.

Pitching in the heat of a pennant race against the team chasing the Cardinals, Wacha hurled 6 shutout innings, allowing only 3 hits and 2 walks.

Of course, it would have been nice if the Cards could have mustered more than just 2 hits (none beyond the 3rd inning), as they were shutout by Homer Bailey and crew to put the Cardinals now 2 back of the Pirates for the division lead and only 1.5 games ahead of the Reds.

However, that should not diminish what Wacha accomplished.  His performance last night should solidify his spot in the starting rotation for the rest of the season.

But, it should not end there.

I think that Wacha could possibly be the Cardinals 4th starter in the playoffs, behind Adam Wainwright, Joe Kelly and Shelby Miller.  Lance Lynn has been inconsistent all season and I'm not sure I'd trust him in a playoff game. 

However, the Cardinals will likely go with Lynn in the playoff rotation and use Wacha in relief, in order to protect Wacha and not put too much pressure on him.

Come next spring, we'll likely see another "battle" for the 5th starter spot in spring training.  However, it will probably just be window dressing, as Wacha will likely be handed the job, just like Miller was this spring. 

One thing is for sure, I'm excited to see what this kid can do on a regular basis and we should get a good feel for that down the stretch.

Friday, August 30, 2013

Who will get the call to start for the Cardinals on Tuesday?

The Cardinals starting rotation is in a state of flux right now.  As of today we know that Shelby Miller will pitch tonight against the Pirates and that Lance Lynn will pitch tomorrow.  However, beyond that the starters are listed as TBD.

For Sunday, Joe Kelly would normally be the starter, as it would be his turn on normal rest.  However, after his abbreviated outing on Wednesday, when he lasted on 2 innings against the Reds, the Cardinals could decide to bring back Adam Wainwright on short rest to face the Pirates. 

That will likely be determined by how the Cards fare in their first two games against the Buccos.  Lose both of them and Mike Matheny may want to use Wainwright to salvage the final game.  Split the two games or win them both and Matheny may just stick with Kelly.

In either case, we know that Kelly and Wainwright will pitch on Sunday and Monday, we just don't know the order yet.

Which brings us to Tuesday. 

Tyler Lyons made the last start when the Cardinals needed a 5th starter, but recent moves indicate that the team might want to go in another direction.  For one thing, Carlos Martinez was sent to AAA Memphis to stretch out again as a starter, after pitching two innings in relief of Lyons on Monday.  Martinez pitched last night and pitched brilliantly, striking out 9 in 7 innings of one-run ball.  If he follows his normal 4 days of rest, he should be ready to start again on Tuesday.

In addition, the Cardinals optioned Michael Wacha to the minors yesterday, after he pitched 4 innings in relief of Wainwright on Wednesday.  But, instead of optioning him to AAA Memphis, the Cardinals sent him to AA Springfield.  As Springfield's season ends Monday, Wacha is eligible to return on Tuesday (Memphis' season ends on Tuesday, so Wacha would not have been able to return until Wednesday, if he was sent there). 

Thus, it appears that the Cardinals are purposely keeping all of their options open when it comes to Tuesday's starter and, at this point, its anybody's guess who that will be.

Friday, August 23, 2013

Cardinals place Jake Westbrook on the D.L. and recall Carlos Martinez

As expected and predicted by many, the Cardinals have removed Jake Westbrook from the starting rotation by placing him on the D.L. with a back injury.  In a corresponding move, the Cards called up Carlos Martinez to replace Westbrook on the active roster.  Mike Matheny has tabbed rookie Tyler Lyons to take Westbrook's scheduled start on Monday.  Martinez will return to the bullpen role he filled earlier in the season.

As I wrote after his last start, Westbrook's time had come.  He has been ineffective for over a month and, with the Cardinals in the heart of a pennant race, a change needed to be made.


As for Westbrook, its unclear what, if any, his role will be when he returns from his injury.  In fact, its unclear whether he is really hurt or the Cardinals are trumping up his back problems so they can stash him on the D.L. for two weeks.

In any case, by the time Westbrook is eligible to return, rosters will have expanded so Martinez will be able to stay up with the team.  The Cardinals and their fans are hoping that someone, whether it is Lyons, Martinez or Michael Wacha can establish himself in the rotation by that time, as they are running out of options and we all do not want to see the team forced to turn to Westbrook again.

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Its time for the Cardinals to replace Jake Westbrook in the rotation

After giving up 4, 5, 9 and 6 earned runs in each of his last 4 appearances, many have speculated that today was make or break time for Jake Westbrook, including Rick Hummel.

Well, after being given a 7-run lead after 2 innings, Westbrook proceeded to give up 3 runs in the 3rd and 2 in the 5th before being lifted after just 4.2 innings.

Let's face it, Westbrook's ship is sinking and its time for the Cardinals to abandon ship.

Part of the blame for Westbrook's recent struggles can be put on manager Mike Matheny, who threw Westbrook into the fire on August 7th after starter Shelby Miller had to leave the game after two pitches due to injury. 

Westbrook was a trooper, pitching 4.2 innings on just 3 days rest, giving up 9 runs.  To compound the madness, Matheny gave Westbrook 8 days off before his next appearance, a start on August 16th and was forced to keep Westbrook out there as long as possible due to an overworked bullpen (2 extra-inning games in 3 previous days). Westbrook threw 124 pitches on August 16th, but lasted just 6.2 innings, giving up 7 runs (6 earned).

You could possibly forgive Westbrook for those two bad outings, as he was out of his routine.  However, today he had no such excuses, working on normal rest.

The problem with Westbrook is that he pitches to contact, relying on groundballs to get him out of jams.  But, with a defense that is below-par in terms of range, a lot more of those groundballs have been finding  holes of late. 

Now Matheny faces a difficult decision, should he replace Westbrook in the rotation and, if so, with who?

Michael Wacha is probably the logical choice, but Carlos Martinez and Tyler Lyons are also decent options.

In addition, what do you do with Westbrook if you bump him from the rotation?  Move him to the pen?  As Bernie Miklasz pointed out a while back, Jake needs more time than most pitchers to warm up, not just throwing, but an elaborate pregame routine that involves the trainers.  Can that translate to the bullpen?  Probably not.

Would the Cardinals just release Westbrook?  That's a definite possibility.  They have enough depth behind him to let him go and latch on with another team.  However, its more likely that the Cardinals will come up with some "injury" to give Jake some extra rest and then let him see if he can work out his issues on a minor league rehab assignment.  If that doesn't work out, then he'd likely be released.

In any case, this should be the last we see of Westbrook in the Cardinals rotation.

Thursday, August 1, 2013

Why did the Cardinals wait so long to use Joe Kelly in the rotation?

What took you so long?

That is the question many Cardinals fans are probably asking John Mozeliak and Mike Matheny after Joe Kelly turned in another strong performance tonight, leading the Cards to victory over the Pirates and ending the team's 7-game skid.

Kelly pitched 6 scoreless innings, giving up just 3 hits and striking out 4.  Although he also walked 4 hitters, he kept the ball on the ground, inducing 7 groundouts to just 3 flyouts, including one double-play. Oh, and he also went 2 for 3 at the plate, scoring a run.

After losing the 5th starter battle to Shelby Miller in the spring, the Cardinals decided to use Kelly in a long relief role instead of letting him start in the minors to keep him stretched out.  The result was that he was used very little--just 18.2 innings through May, and was ineffective when he was used.

Around that time, with both Jaime Garcia and Jake Westbrook on the D.L., the Cardinals should have sent Kelly down to AAA to stretch him out and get him back on track.  Instead, the team used a steam of 3 different rookies (John Gast, Tyler Lyons and Michael Wacha) to fill in, before finally turning to Kelly when they were in a pinch.

After making an emergency start on June 5th, in which he lasted 5.2 innings, despite not being stretched out, while giving up only 2 runs (1 earned), the Cardinals finally must have realized that Kelly was a capable starter, because, shortly after they decided to demote Wacha back to AAA to protect his arm, Kelly was named as the 5th starter (almost by default).

So far, Kelly has sparkled in the starting role.  He is 2-1 as a starter, with a 1.84 ERA in 5 starts.  He has allowed 2 or less runs in 4 of those starts, with his only clunker a 6 inning, 4 run effort against the Marlins. 

In addition, its not as if Kelly was terrible as a starter last year.  He compiled a 3.74 ERA in 16 starts. Put it all together and Kelly has a 6-7 record with a 3.28 ERA in 21 starts in the big leagues. Not too bad for the former college closer.

So, why did the Cardinals wait so long to use Kelly in the rotation?  We may never find out the true answer to that question.  But I'm glad he's there now and hopefully he'll continue to convince the team that he should stay there.

Thursday, July 25, 2013

How will Shelby Miller's innings limit impact the Cardinals?

According to Fox Sports Midwest, Shelby Miller the Cardinals may be eying an innings limit of around 180 for their young pitcher.  This sounds about right as Miller's pitched only about 150 innings last year and a 30 innings jump is reasonable.

However, how might this limit impact the Cardinals and their young gun down the stretch?

Currently, Miller is on pace for about 185 innings, which is right in line with the 180 target.  But does that limit include the postseason?

Miller doesn't think so, as he was quoted (by Fox) as saying "I'm trying to get to 180 or so this year not including whatever we do in the postseason".  However, the Cardinals may have other ideas.

The Cards are already doing what they can to limit his innings.  They shifted the rotation prior to the All Star break, to effectively skip one of Miller's turns and then, with the off days after the break, they skipped him again so that he ended up with 13 days off in between starts.

The Cardinals will try to give Miller extra rest where they can, but they are currently in a stretch of 37 games in 37 days (including one double-header), with only one off day, so rest will be limited.

The main issue is this:  if Miller reaches 180 innings before the end of the season, will the Cardinals shut him down before the playoffs or will they allow him to keep pitching?

If they shut him down, we get into another Stephen Strasburg situation, where the team heads into the playoffs without one of their best pitchers and we all know how that turned out for the Nationals last year.

On the other hand, if the Cardinals truly want to protect Miller, are they going to let him pitch upwards of 20+ innings in the post season?  If not, what are their alternatives?  Throw Carlos Martinez or Michael Wacha into the fire?  Probably not and this is likely the main reason the Cards are looking for a veteran arm, like Jake Peavy, for their rotation.

The Cardinals have some young arms and they are doing their best to protect them, but as the Nats are learning this year, a chance at the World Series title doesn't come along every year. 

What would you do?  You can provide your answer in the poll on the homepage.

Sunday, July 21, 2013

Changes looming for Cardinals starting rotation?

The Cardinals are facing big decisions regarding their starting rotation. 

First off, Chris Carpenter is expected to meet with the Cardinals' brass to discuss his take on his recent outing in which he allowed 9 hits and 4 earned runs in 3.1 innings. 

Manager Mike Matheny said he had a brief conversation with AAA manager Ron "Pop" Warner, but is waiting for Carpenter's assessment before forming any conclusions.

As Matheny puts it, " I trust his evaluation as much as anything. He's a pretty honest evaluator of himself. I'm excited to talk to him and see exactly how he felt."

It has been assumed that if Carpenter is deemed ready to go, he will replace Joe Kelly in the starting rotation.  However, that depends on whether Carpenter feels he is ready and if the Cardinals feel he is ready as well.

Its possible that the Cardinals will have Carpenter make at least one more start in the minors before inserting him in the rotation, if at all.

Another decision the Cardinals need to address is what to do about Lance Lynn.  After another start in which he struggled with both his stuff and his emotions, Matheny met with Lynn to discuss his approach and how to best harness those emotions.

Of course, keeping his emotions in check is just one of his problems, Lynn continues to struggle with his performance as well.  Lynn has now lost 4 of his last 5 starts, allowing 4 or more runs in each of those losses.

After struggling in the middle of last season, Lynn appears to be going through the same issues this year.  Last year, the Cardinals blamed Lynn's midseason struggles on his weight.  However, this year they no longer have that excuse, after Lynn lost weight over the offseason.

If Lynn doesn't get straightened out soon, The Cardinals could demote him to the bullpen, like last year, until he gets things sorted out.

Finally, the Cardinals need to figure out what to do with Carlos Martinez.  According to Jennifer Langosch, John Mozeliak has said that the Cards have 7-10 days before they have to get Martinez back into a starting rotation to keep him stretched out. 

Whether that is at the major league or minor league level is the decision that faces the Cardinals.  Its possible that if the Cards do not feel Carpenter is ready to move into the rotation, the team will turn to Martinez to replace Joe Kelly or if Lynn doesn't improve, Martinez could replace him in the rotation.

While the possibility of Martinez pitching in the big league rotation may excite Cardinals fans, the fact is the team would probably prefer to have a more experienced guy in the rotation.

In any case, the next week or so could see significant changes to the Cardinals rotation.

Monday, July 15, 2013

Cardinals conundrum: What will be Carlos Martinez' role in the second half?

According to Derrick Goold, the Cardinals will spend some time over the All Star break assessing what to do with Carlos Martinez. 

After optioning Martinez down to AAA on May 27th to stretch him out as a starter, the Cardinals recalled him on July 11th to give the team a fresh arm in the pen before the break.  However, what was originally considered a temporary assignment may now become a more permanent one.

There are various factors that come into play here, the foremost being what makes the most sense, both for the team and for Martinez' development. 

As GM John Mozeliak states:


"We have to assess what makes the most sense. He’s electric. I definitely don’t want him to go backward in terms of how much he has built up (as a starter). As we look at the next two or three weeks is there enough usage to justify keeping him here?”
In addition, Mike Matheny sums up the difficult decision like this:

 “We do really like what he brings as a starter. For his development, it’s better for him to be prepared to start. It’s tough to weigh. We know he wants to be here. We like having him here. We think he can help us. But there is more that goes into the decision.”
As Matheny says, there are other factors at play here as well.

For instance, a lot might depend on how Chris Carpenter fares in his rehab.  He makes his first start tonight for AA Springfield and if he progresses, the need for Martinez as a starter decreases.


Also, will the Cardinals be able to find Martinez enough work?  Prior to being moved into the starting rotation, Joe Kelly worked as the long reliever in the pen, the role that Martinez would likely take over.  In the first two month of the season, Kelly only threw 18.2 innings, which would have put him on pace for about 55 innings.  Hardly enough innings to allow a youngster like Martinez develop properly.

I think that the best option for the Cardinals and Martinez would be to send him back down to AAA to start. Although the Cardinals might not need another starter this year, they will certainly be looking for starters next year, with Jake Westbrook likely heading to free agency and the 5th starter spot still up in the air.  Martinez could be one of the favorites to claim a starting role next year, but only if he's given time to properly develop this year. 

However, the Cardinals may have already made their decision, as they optioned Keith Butler to AAA today.  Butler, a righthander like Martinez, was unscored upon in his last 8 appearances, yet the Cards sent him down anyway, a possible indication that they have decided to keep Martinez.

In any case, I hope that if the Cardinals have decided to keep Martinez in the pen, it won't hamper his long-term development.

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Desperate for a fresh arm in the pen, Cardinals recall Carlos Martinez

After another short outing by starter Shelby Miller, which required Seth Maness to pitch 2 innings and Edward Mujica to pitch his 6th consecutive game, the Cardinals needed a fresh arm in the pen. Thus, Carlos Martinez was recalled today, with Michael Blazek being sent to the minors.

This is likely just a short-term stint for Martinez, who will likely head back to Memphis during the All-Star break to continue his work as a starter.

GM John Mozeliak described Martinez' role as "bullpen innings eater", when asked by Bernie Miklasz. So, Martinez will likely fill the long reliever role that Maness has occupied, while Seth gets a chance to rest.

I don't normally like it when teams shuttle pitchers up and down from their AAA club, especially one as talented as Martinez.  I think it can affect their development and Martinez needs work to develop a third pitch to go with his blazing fastball and excellent curve.

However, as this appears to be just a short-term move, mostly out of necessity, it should not have much affect.  Martinez should return to AAA to continue his work as a starter and provide depth for a struggling starting rotation. 

Joe Kelly is currently the 5th starter and Chris Carpenter is set to begin a rehab assignment on Monday, but neither one is a sure thing.  In addition, the recent struggles of Miller and Lance Lynn have raised concerns about the Cardinals pitching staff, and rightly so.

Bottom line, the Cardinals need Martinez stretched out at AAA as another option should one of the current starters falter.

Sunday, July 7, 2013

Cardinals quietly looking for a starter?

Despite the Cardinals general belief that they have the internal pitching depth to handle any issues with their starting pitching, Joe Strauss indicates in a recent article that the Cardinals might be conducting a "low-decibel" search for another starter.

With Carlos Martinez waiting in the wings and Michael Wacha likely a candidate to return in September, the Cardinals have two strong options in AAA should one of their current starter falter.  In addition, the Cards will closely monitor Chris Carpenter progress in his rehab from his shoulder injury to determine if he is an option for the rotation.

The next 3 weeks will be an evaluation period for the Cardinals, not only to see if they need an upgrade to their current rotation of Adam Wainwright, Jake Westbrook, Lance Lynn, Shelby Miller and Joe Kelly, but also to see where that potential upgrade might be (either internal or external).

For his part, GM John Mozeliak indicated that he believes that the team has "sound internal options", but that he reserves the right to "re-examine things the next four weeks."

The Cardinals are already scouting players in anticipation of the trade deadline, with Adam McCalvy reporting that the team had a scout at the Mets/Brewers game this afternoon.  Who the scout was looking at is unclear, but its unlikely that is was any of the Brewers players (the Cards are adverse to trading within the division).

What is also unclear is whether the Cardinals could really find a pitcher that is clearly better than their internal option on the trade market.  Matt Garza would probably qualify, but, as I said before, the Cards are unlikely to trade within their own division.  



Bud Norris has pitched well this year, but is probably no better than a 4th or 5th starter on a contending team.  Is he really a step up from Joe Kelly (or Wacha or Martinez)?

In addition, after recent struggles, Shelby Miller, Jake Westbrook and Lance Lynn each turned in strong performances their last times out, helping to alleviate concerns. 

So, while the Cardinals may be quietly checking out the starting pitching market, its probably more of a passive than an active search.  They will check and scout all of the external options and see what the asking prices are.  If there is a starter out there that could be had for cheap and is a clear upgrade to what they have (both in the majors and minors), they could make a move. 

However, its more likely they'll stick with what they've got.

Monday, July 1, 2013

Cardinals could use a spark, but from where?

The Cardinals ended the month of June with an uninspiring 14-14 record. 

The main culprit has been the once reliable starting pitching.  After dominating for two months, all of the starters, save for Adam Wainwright, posted ERA's above 4.00 during June.  

But the pitching isn't the only thing that should shoulder the blame.  The offense has also been inconsistent, often showing a feast or famine tendency. 

Its obvious that the Cards could use a spark to get them rolling again, but from where?

Here are the possibilities:

Trades

With the calendar turning to July, the trade market is sure to pick up.  If the Cardinals want to help their beleaguered starting rotation, there are plenty of starters on the market. 

However, two of the top sellers of starting pitching at this year's deadline reside in the NL Central (the Cubs and Brewers) and the Cards have said that trading within the division is "not desirable".

The Marlins have made Ricky Nolasco available and the Astros have Bud Norris on the block, but is either one enough to provide the boost the Cardinals need?

The Cards could always go "all-in" and trade for the Phillies' Cliff Lee, but it would likely gut their farm system in the process.  Would the Cardinals mortgage their future for Lee?

Minors

The most obvious way to spark the Cardinals offense would be to replace the struggling John Jay with Oscar Taveras.  However, Taveras has been dealing with an ankle injury for the last month and currently resides on the 7-day D.L.  Once healthy, he could be a viable option later this month.

Another possibility is to call up Carlos Martinez for the starting rotation and put Lance Lynn in the bullpen.  Lynn appears to be going through the same mid-season funk that he did last year, posting a 4.83 ERA in June.  However, despite his struggles, he has still managed to go 3-1 for the month.

Martinez could also be used to replace Jake Westbrook in the rotation.  Westbrook had the worst month of any starter still in the rotation, posting a 5.32 ERA while going 2-2 in his 4 starts.  Westbrook could possibly then be used as a trade chip with another contending team.

My guess is that the Cardinals will just make minor trades here or there, either adding an arm for the bullpen or finding a right handed bat for the bench and hope that the regulars get back on track.  But, if the team's struggles continue through July, don't be surprised to see Taveras or Martinez called up by the end of the month.

Friday, June 21, 2013

Tyler Lyons roughed up again. Does this spell the end for his spot in the rotation?

After lasting just 1.2 innings tonight while allowing 4 runs on 3 hits and 3 walks, it appears that Tyler Lyons time in the Cardinals starting rotation is nearing its end. 

With three off days coming up, the Cards can skip Lyons' turn in the rotation and give themselves some time to figure out who they'll use the next time a 5th starter is needed. 

The Cardinals have days off on June 24, 27 and July 1.  Thus, the next time the Cardinals need a 5th starter is on July 6th against the Marlins.  Not a bad team for a pitcher to make his first major league start against.

Who might they call up?

My money is on Carlos Martinez.  However, the Cardinals have surprised us with their decisions before, going against the grain or conventional thought.

Another option might be Boone Whiting.  He has pitched well at Memphis, with a 4-2 record and 3.86 ERA.  The 18th round pick in 2010, would be on schedule to pitch on July 6th. 

In any case, we'll likely have to wait a couple weeks to see what happens, until then we keep guessing.




Sunday, June 16, 2013

How long is Tyler Lyons' leash?

I can understand the Cardinals decision to option Michael Wacha back to the minors.  I made the case for doing the same thing a couple weeks ago.  Wacha is only one year removed from college and still has things to work on before he truly reaches his potential.

Tyler Lyons had two excellent starts to start his major league career, but has gotten progressively worse since then.  In his third start, he only allowed two runs while he was in the game (the bullpen allowed two of his runners to score).  In his 4th start he allowed 4 runs in 5.1 innings and in his start tonight, he allowed 6 runs in 5.1 innings.

This makes one think how many more chances Lyons will get to turn things around before the Cardinals decide to try someone else?

Lyons currently has a 4.65 ERA and the Carindals are 2-3 in his starts.  Despite his recent clunkers, the Cardinals are not going to recall Wacha anytime soon to take Lyons' place.  They made their decision and they are going to stay with it for a time.

Another thing that may come in to play is how Chris Carpenter and/or John Gast progress from their injuries.  If either one of them show that they could be ready to return in 3-4 weeks, the Cards may decide to stick with Lyons until that time. 

The Cardinals have that luxury with a 2.5 game lead in the NL Central standings and the best record in the majors.  It should help that the Cardinals face one of the easiest stretches on their schedule facing sub .500 teams in 18 of the next 24 games.  However, if the Cards should slip a little and Lyons continues to struggle, they will not hesitate to make a change.

Its obvious that the league has adjusted to Lyons.  Now its up to him to make adjustments if he wants to stay in the rotation.

Friday, June 14, 2013

Michael Wacha is odd man out for Cardinals rotation

After much debate and discussion, the Cardinals finally decided today to keep Tyler Lyons in the starting rotation and option Michael Wacha to AAA Memphis.  Derrick Goold tweeted this just minutes ago and Rick Hummel confirmed it.

I can't say that I'm surprised by the decision.  Wacha is still just one year removed from pitching in college and could probably use some additional development time--primarily to work on his breaking ball.  In addition, this will help the Cards to keep his innings down and potentially avoid Super Two status as well.

However, I am disappointed.  Like many of you, I have developed a huge man crush on Wacha.  It started with his impressive spring and only got stronger with his incredible first major league start and his ability to adjust in his last start.  (It doesn't hurt either that I have him on more than one fantasy team as well).

Make no mistake about it, Wacha time is coming (again) in the not-to-distant future.  I could definitely see him coming back up in September to fill a bullpen role down the stretch, much like Shelby Miller before him. He will also be the leading candidate to step into the rotation next year to replace likely free agent Jake Westbrook (although Carlos Martinez might have something to say about that).


In the meantime, Cardinals fans will just have to wait and watch his development at AAA.